WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW:
- The front-runner in the Democratic presidential nomination race- former Vice President Joe Biden- had slightly surpassed Trump in a newly released poll on Wednesday from Quinnipiac University, Texas.
- The survey which was administered on May 29-June 4 suggested Biden having a 48-44 percent advantage over President Trump.
- Survey reports come after Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont were revealed to lead over Trump with double digits in a Michigan poll.
In a hypothetical 2020 general election showdown, former Vice President Joe Biden, presently a front-runner in the Democratic presidential nomination race, has been revealed to slightly top Trump, according to Wednesday’s released polls in Texas.
The release of the Quinnipiac University poll comes after a day after a Michigan survey showed both Biden and another leading Democratic nomination hopeful -Vermont’s independent Sen. Bernie Sanders- edging out Trump with double digits in the critical battleground state.
The new Quinnipiac survey was conducted May 29-June 4 where 1,159 Texas voters were questioned lived by telephone operators. Using a sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points, reports indicated Biden to have gained a 48-44 percent lead over the president.
Further, the survey indicates Trump having a slight edge in hypothetical matchups with Sanders (48-44 percent); former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (48-45 percent); Mayor Pete Buttigieg, of South Bend (46-44 percent); California’s Sen. Kamala Harris (47-43 percent) and Mayor Julian Castro of San Antonio Texas (46-43 percent).
Jimmy Carter was the last Democrat to win Texas in the 1976 presidential election.
As for the rest of the Democratic field, Quinnipiac University Poll assistant director Peter Brow noted that their reports weren’t so bad either in Texas, known as the largest state with a Republican edge. This could spell out trouble for Trump as he runs for re-election.
In 2016, President Trump narrowly captured Michigan edging out Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by fewer than 11,000 votes out of more than 4.7 million. Since George H.W. Bush in 1988, Trump became the first GOP candidate to carry the state, which is one of three Rust Belt states together with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
However, in a new Michigan poll which was carried out by the Glengariff Group on May 28-30 with 600 possible Michigan voters interviewed by live telephone operators with a plus or minus four percentage points sampling error, both Biden and Sanders were revealed to top Trump by 12 percentage points.
Also in hypothetical general election matchups in Michigan, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Harris, and Buttigieg were also indicated in the survey to edge out Trump with single digit advantages.
“Democrats who turned out in large numbers in the 2018 mid-term remain highly motivated heading into next year’s presidential contest and complicate Trump’s path to re-election, according to Glengariff Group pollster Richard Czuba.
Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania last month, a Quinnipiac survey suggested Biden to have an 11 percentage point advantage over Trump.